• The Locks
  • Posts
  • šŸ’£ Trump Just Screwed Sports Bettors — But Gave His Son a Loophole

šŸ’£ Trump Just Screwed Sports Bettors — But Gave His Son a Loophole

Let's Smoke🚬 the Books

Alright, let’s talk about what just happened — because it’s not getting nearly enough attention.

Trump signed a 1,100+ page monster called the ā€œOne Big Beautiful Billā€, and buried inside it is a tax rule that quietly nukes sports bettors while letting his son walk away untouched.

šŸ“‰ The Tax Rule That Changes Everything

Here’s the exact change:
Starting January 1, 2026, gambling losses will only be 90% deductible against gambling winnings.

Let me say that again:

You can only write off 90% of your losses.

It’s part of the amendments to Section 165(d) of the Internal Revenue Code — which governs gambling loss deductions. The old rule? You could deduct 100% of your losses, up to the amount you won. That’s gone.

So let’s break it down:

🚫 Old Rule (2025 and earlier):

  • Win $100,000

  • Lose $100,000
    → Net $0 = No taxable income = No federal tax owed

šŸ’€ New Rule (2026 and beyond):

  • Win $100,000

  • Lose $100,000
    → Only $90,000 of those losses are deductible
    → You now owe taxes on $10,000
    → At a 24% bracket, that’s $2,400 out of pocket
    → Even though you didn’t profit a cent

You tracking that? You could be completely even on the year — and still owe the IRS thousands. That’s not gambling… that’s government theft with a federal stamp.

😔 This Is a Setup — And the Exemption Is Obvious

So now ask yourself… who benefits from this?

It’s sure as hell not the grinders, the casuals, or the sharps. It’s not the guys trying to stay profitable on 3% edges.

But guess who’s not affected by this new tax squeeze?
Traders.

And guess what Kalshi — a CFTC-regulated prediction market — is classified as?
A trading exchange.
Not a sportsbook. Not a DFS platform. A marketplace.

Even better:
Donald Trump Jr. just joined Kalshi as a strategic advisor.

You think that’s a coincidence? Please.
This was a surgical play. Trump signs a tax bill that crushes the entire sports betting ecosystem, and the one platform that’s immune to it… just happens to be the one his son advises?

Come on. This wasn’t policy. This was a move.

āœ… What I’m Doing — And What You Should Too

I’m not gonna sit around and get hit with phantom taxes. I’m adapting early. I’m moving plays and event trading to Kalshi, because:

  • It’s legally categorized as a financial exchange

  • It’s exempt from this new gambling deduction limit

  • It’s backed by legit infrastructure and now has serious political backing

And I’m hooking you ALL UP:

  • āœ… $10 free on your first $100 in trades

  • āœ… 1 free day of The Lock Talk Premium (private plays, insights, breakdowns)

  • āœ… A seat at the table before this becomes mainstream and the promo goes away

āš ļø DISCLAIMER (Read this)

This isn’t financial or tax advice. I’m not a CPA.
This is my opinion based on what I’m seeing, reading, and how I’m personally moving.

You should absolutely talk to a tax pro about how this affects your setup. But let me be real with you:

If you’re a high-volume bettor…
If you’re trying to make real money betting long-term…
And you don’t adapt to this rule change — you’re screwed.
šŸ™Œ Enjoyed the Picks & News?

Help another bettor out — forward this to a friend who needs sharper lines and better info.

šŸ“² Subscribe to stay ahead https://thelocktalk.beehiiv.com/subscribe 

TLT Unlocked

Subscribe to keep reading

This content is free, but you must be subscribed to The Locks to continue reading.

Already a subscriber?Sign in.Not now

Reply

or to participate.