The Lock Talk - Newsletter #6

Money Mondays - Lock In!

Author

Lock Talk
October 30, 2023

LOCK TALK UPDATE
LAST WEEK +12.18 UNITS!

Amazing Week! Since NBA basketball has been back, we have been crushing the books! We will continue to focus in on football, basketball and even some hockey as baseball comes to a close. You better stop watching and TAP IN!

TOPIC OF THE DAY
STOP DOING PARLAYS

assumed -110 odds

  1. Diminished Winning Potential:

    • Example: In a 4-leg parlay with average odds of +1491 (91/100), you might expect a $1,491 payout on a winning bet. However, sportsbooks typically pay out only a fraction of this amount, significantly reducing your potential winnings.

  2. Increased House Edge:

    • Example: Sportsbooks set parlays with a substantial built-in edge. The more legs you add to your parlay, the larger this advantage becomes, making it increasingly difficult to profit. This house edge can significantly impact your long-term profitability.

  3. Low Probability of Success:

    • Example: A 4-leg parlay with average odds of +1491 has a probability of just 6.67%. This means there's only a 1 in 15 chance of winning, making parlays a risky bet with a low likelihood of success.

  4. Unrealistic Payouts vs. Fair Payouts:

    • Example: In a 2-leg parlay with average odds of +191, you might expect a $191 payout. However, sportsbooks typically pay out much less, you really deserver 2.91x payout! In other words, the books take a HUGE amount of juice / edge on you!

  5. Inconsistent Results and Long-Term Pitfalls:

    • Example: Relying on parlays can lead to inconsistent and unpredictable outcomes. It's challenging to sustain profits over time due to the low probability of winning and the sportsbook's edge, potentially resulting in financial losses in the long run.

LISTEN UP!
WHERE DO I GET THE PLAYS?

  • Hit the link: Get the Plays HERE

  • Use Code: “25OFF” to get 25% OFF for being a subscriber!

FREE PLAY
10/30 - FREE PLAY

  • Gordan Hayward over 4.5 rebs -120 (Hornets)

    • As you can see above, Gordon has hit this line in two of the last regular season games

    • Nets are without Nic Claxton, so I think he will get a ton of chances to use his size to grab boards

WHERE TO SPEND MY $
STOP GETTING HANGOVERS

I have been using this before I go grab drinks, and its honestly stopped me from feeling like crap the next day.

Use Code: “LOCK” to get a insane discount!

ue

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