The Lock Talk - Newsletter #21

TOPICS OF THE DAY
IT HAS BEEN A WHILE!

• Took a break from the newsletter to take care of a few things but we are back!

• We will be sending out on a more consistent basis and offer more features very very soon!

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SPORTS BETTING SCHOOL
IDENTIFYING OVER/UNDER PRICED BETS

• 1. Assessing a Bet:

  • You think: Your favorite team has a killer shot at winning — you're calculated odds it's around 60%.

• 2. Bookies Speak -150:

  • FanDuel: The bookies slap -150 odds on your team, claiming a 60% chance of victory according to them.

• 3. Fair or Foul?

  • Truth Bomb: When the odds match your gut (60% vs. -150), it's like the betting gods nodding in agreement. No magic, no rip-offs — just a level playing field.

• 4. Jackpot Alert: +150 Odds!

  • Plot Twist: Now, imagine the bookies throw +150 your way, suggesting only a 40% chance of your team winning.

• 5. Smell the Opportunity:

  • Eye-Opener: Hold up! If you still swear by that 60% assessment and grab those +150 odds, you might just be onto something. It's like the bookies left the door open, and you're ready to snatch some value.

• Word of Caution:

  • Reality Check: Betting ain't a walk in the park. The sports books usually do not have HUGE GAPS like this but it DOES HAPPEN.

  • Another example of this is when sports books post different odds for the same bet! If we can get -120 on one book when others are offering -140, you found 20 pts of value!