The Lock Talk - Newsletter #18

SPORT HIGHLIGHTS OF THE WEEK
5 GAMES ALL END BY A FIELD GOAL?🦵 

On Sunday, the NFL achieved a new milestone with five teams securing victories through game-winning field goals as time ran out — the highest number ever in a single day in the league's history. Remarkably, star quarterbacks Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson experienced defeats in two of those instances. It's no surprise that the NFL remains the most captivating content on television

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Alex Pereira secured the LHW title to give the TLT family a huge win!

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SPORTS BETTING TOPIC OF THE DAY
LINE MOVEMENT 💹

• Rapid Line Shifts:

  1. Indicator: Sudden and significant changes in the betting line.

  2. Example: The opening line for Team X is -3, but it quickly moves to -6 within a short period.

• Contrarian Line Movement:

  • Indicator: Line moves against the majority public opinion.

  • Example: Despite 80% of bets favoring Team Y, the line moves from -4 to -3.5, suggesting sharp money on the underdog.

• Consistent Line Movement Across Sportsbooks:

  • Indicator: Similar line movements observed across multiple sportsbooks.

  • Example: Various bookmakers adjust odds for Team Z from +2 to +1.5, indicating a consensus among sharp bettors.

• Late Line Movement Before Game Time:

  • Indicator: Substantial line changes close to the start of the game.

  • Example: In the final hour before kickoff, the line for the favored team shifts from -5 to -7, indicating late sharp money.

• Line Movement Discrepancies:

  • Indicator: Inconsistencies between the movement of the line and the percentage of bets.

  • Example: Despite 60% of bets favoring Team W, the line moves from -2 to -1, suggesting that the smaller percentage of sharp bettors is heavily favoring the underdog.

NBA TEAMS TO FADE
THE WORST ATS TEAMS THIS SEASON ❄❄

• Bucks 1-8 ATS

• Bulls 3-7 ATS

• Grizzlies 3-7 ATS

Consider FADING these teams as they have are all a combined 18-7 if you faded them this season so far 💥💥

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