The Lock Talk - Newsletter #17 (NEW TREND)

SUPER SATURDAY
MASSIVE DAY - UFC + BASKEBTALL

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SPORTS BETTING TOPIC OF THE DAY
BETTING MARKET PSYCHOLOGY

• Public Sentiment and Bias:

  • Example: If 80% of the public is betting on Team A, but the odds don't reflect their true probability of winning, there may be value in betting on the less popular Team B.

• Contrarian Betting:

  • Example: If a heavily favored team (e.g., -200) has 90% of the public bets, consider contrarian betting on the underdog (e.g., +180) for a potential value opportunity.

• Line Movements and Sharp Money:

  • Example: If a line moves from -3 to -5, it may indicate sharp money backing the favored team.

• Late-Breaking Information:

  • Example: If a star player is ruled out just before the game and odds shift dramatically, acting quickly to bet against the affected team might yield favorable odds.

• Historical Betting Trends:

  • Example: If a team consistently performs well as an underdog, historical trends may suggest value in betting on that team when they are not favored.

• Market Overreactions:

  • Example: If a team loses one game by a large margin, causing the public to underestimate them in the next match, there might be value in betting on that team due to a market overreaction.

NBA 1Q TREND
TEAMS WHO SCORE A TON - OVER TT🔥

• Mavericks 9-0 Team Total Over

• Pacers 7-2 Team Total Over

• Clippers 6-2 Team Total Over

Consider betting these team’s team total over as those three teams above have been scoring a ton!

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